Urban Growth Strategy Services

The Vendor is required to provide urban growth strategy is to provide clear direction on where and how residential and employment growth should occur in city over the next twenty-five (25) years.
- Develop and implement a public participation program
•    Develop and implement a public consultation and participation program schedule for completing the project;
•    Identify target groups and audiences to participate in the public consultation and participation program;
•    Outline the various public consultation and participation methodologies and strategies to be used, which should include innovative initiatives tailored specifically to the needs of saint john residents;
•    Develop innovative and creative ways of engaging and involving members of common council through the program, in order to help increase buy-in and ownership of the overall process; 
•    In conjunction with the city of saint john's corporate communications-department, help maintain and monitor a project page developed specifically for the initiative; and, 
•    Outline the communication mediums to support the program, including but not limited to, web-based and social media platforms.
- Develop twenty-five (25) year population, economic, and land use forecasts
•    Research and summarize historical population, economic, and land use trends, including school enrollment projections related to future school site requirements; 
•    Develop low, medium, and high scenario population projections for the next 25 years
•    From (b), recommend a growth scenario for modelling use throughout the urban GIS growth strategy
•    Outline growth assumptions for modelling use throughout the urban growth strategy; (e) research and summarize demographic trends and implications on future economic growth and land use development. 
•    This shall also include employment projections, and identification of future residential and non-residential demands; 
•    Analyze, categorize, and map the city's current land use supply and historical land use absorption
•    Identify the city's future land use needs (i.e. Commercial, industrial, residential) for the next twenty-five (25) years, as well as land for infrastructure to support land use needs (e.g., water towers, reservoirs, and city arterials for local transportation needs); and, 
•    Identify how each scenario impacts affordability using current rents and recent home prices for analyses; and, 
•    Calculate yields of properties in the city (total, future build-out) under current zoning.
- Identify and analyze key, current, and high potential future growth and development areas
•    Consult key stakeholders in identifying key, current, and potential future growth and development areas; 
•    Identify and assess strengths, changes challenges, and opportunities for increased future development in key areas including limitations imposed by a combined sewer system; 
•    If identified through future land use needs under goal #2 (g), outline and recommend potential expansion areas; and, 
•    Identify and assess strengths, challenges, and opportunities for potential expansion areas under (c).
- Outline and assess various city-wide and area-specific growth scenarios
•    Conduct a broad fiscal impact analysis of each city-wide growth scenario presented under goal #3, including consideration of the city's approved capital budget policy, operating budget policy, debt management policy, and existing infrastructure deficit; 
•    Recommend a preferred city-wide growth scenario, which shall take into account the scenario feasibility and fiscal analyses, ability to support public transit, and feedback from the public participation and consultation program
•    Conduct detailed fiscal impact analyses for key, future growth, and development areas presented under goal #3, including addressing infrastructure deficit priorities; 
•    For each key area under (c), assess three (3) land use intensity and growth scenarios whereby a preferred option is recommended for each; and, 
•    Relate and highlight the impact of each land use intensity and growth scenario under (d) back to the preferred city-wide growth scenario under (b).
- Provide a generalized implementation strategy
•    Provide an overview of key capital works projects (short-, medium- and long-term by generalized cost) required to realize the urban growth strategy, and ranked in order of importance to realize the strategy; 
•    Calculate the amount of potential land acquisition needed to meet future land use needs and support land use needs, including the possible opening of provincial lands; 
•    Outline a framework of proposed policies and proposals to realize the urban growth strategy. 
•    The framework should be easily integrated into the municipal plan in the upcoming review process; 
•    Outline the financial incentive(s) and recovery tool(s) required to realize the urban growth strategy (i.e. an analysis of existing tools and potential future tools); 
•    Analyze the potential effectiveness and ineffectiveness of levying development fees to pay for the costs of infrastructure expansion, ongoing maintenance, and recovery from infrastructure deficits, including comparative analyses of levying such new fees in all parts of the city, or in specifically targeted areas, or in greenfield areas only; 
•    Highlight growth management policies and proposals in other jurisdictions that may be useful and relevant to the future updating of the municipal plan to reflect the urban growth strategy; and, outline how the urban growth strategy should be utilized in future public consultation and participation programs for the municipal plan review process.