The vendor is required to provide integrated resources planning purposes, and develop an integrated resources plan serves as a comprehensive, long-term roadmap based on operational considerations, financial impacts, regulatory requirements, customer feedback, and related data modeling to outline the optimum pathway towards decarbonizing power supplies.
- Project discovery and administration
• Working with agency staff to define assumptions, goals, procurement preferences and plans, and desired sensitivity and scenario analysis.
• Reviewing city prior IRPS (2018 and 2023 versions).
• Planning and preliminary development of an approach for production cost modeling.
• Planning and preliminary development of an approach and outline for the IRP document.
• Necessary related administrative tasks.
- Production cost modeling
• Assess agency electric system configuration, including load, supply-side, and demand-side resource inputs.
• Coordinate with agency staff to identify and collect needed data.
• Develop long-term (20+ year) forecasts of hourly system loads, incorporating factors such as economic conditions, energy efficiency programs, distributed generation, climate change, electric vehicle adoption, and other factors affecting load growth and hourly and seasonal load shape.
• Perform resource portfolio evaluation and identify optimum resource additions that meet multiple criteria and priorities, such as reliability, cost, environmental impacts, and regulatory requirements.
• Design scenarios and sensitivities that evaluate potential impacts of evolving regulatory requirements, electrification trends, and energy market conditions.
• Conduct model runs and iterations to assess risk and uncertainty for key variables, including fuel price volatility, resource availability, climate impacts, varying renewable integration costs, and regulatory changes.
• Assess potential integration of emerging technologies such as battery storage, other energy storage techniques, demand response programs, and hydrogen fuel as part of the modeling framework.
• Develop and present a resource adequacy strategy that ensures agency meets state independent system operator reliability and capacity obligations, including planning reserve margin compliance and reliability under extreme weather events.
• Evaluate the results and communicate findings and recommendations to city.
• Develop charts, graphs and narratives summarizing results, delivered in a format(s) conducive to incorporation into the IRP (as indicated in task 3).
• Demonstrate and educate agency staff on the approaches, tools and techniques used to complete the production cost modeling.
• Deliver results in excel format for agency to use in posting its IRP to the commission.
- Integrated resources plan document preparation
• Incorporate the results and findings and content from the production cost modeling effort (as indicated in task 2), into the IRP document.
• Coordinate with agency staff and recommend needed content; develop and prepare general content for inclusion in the IRP.
• Develop and deliver a preliminary draft of a complete IRP document that includes updated production cost model and general narrative content, including the results of customer engagement and surveys (which will be managed by agency staff in coordination with a 3rd party provider).
• Coordinate with agency staff to make needed refinements and revisions to the draft IRP and assist agency staff to realize a final IRP by agency target deadline.
- Contract Period/Term: 1 year
- Questions/Inquires Deadline: May 12, 2025